The early candidacies keep on coming. This week, New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand joined a growing field of Democratic presidential candidates. Democrats and pundits responded with a resounding “meh.” That’s not to say she should be overlooked. While she excites few constituencies or powerful interests, she also alienates few constituencies and powerful interests. For the… Read More In Comes Gillibrand
It’s my oldest son’s fourth birthday tomorrow. It’s a great age, and he’s curious about so many things. People sometimes ask what he’s most interested in. Is it dinosaurs? Trucks? Superheroes? Each of those have phased in and out, but their transience contrasts with his greatest passion. For nearly half his life, all other interests… Read More Planets, Dwarf Planets, and the 2020 Presidential Candidates… So Far
Okay, I’ll bite. Some readers have noticed that I generally avoid Mueller speculation on this website, an approach that stands in diametrical opposition to the media’s favorite obsession of the past 18 months. (Yes, it’s been exactly 18 months since Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein appointed Bob Mueller as special counsel on May 17, 2017.) It’s… Read More FAQs: Impeachment
As promised last week, today I’ve posted my odds for the 2020 presidential race. To the right sidebar (on desktop and tablets) or underneath (smartphones), you’ll see my odds on winners of the Republican Primary, Democratic Primary, and the general election. See you next week with the 11th most influential figure in Western history! -PPFA
Yesterday I took my final look back on the 2018 midterms before pivoting to the next Biggest Election Ever: the 2020 presidential. Specifically, I previewed what will ultimately be a straight-forward Republican Primary — or, at least as straight-forward as anything can be while still involving Donald Trump. Today we move over to the more… Read More Taking Stock of the Contenders for the Democratic Nomination
(My sincerest thanks to all veterans for bravely protecting our country so cowards like me can write about it.) And that’s it. Though I missed a couple Senate races, I was generally right across the board, mostly thanks to few surprises. Of all my predictions, however, perhaps what what most rings true is the reaction… Read More The Midterm Cycle Is Over. The Presidential Cycle Now Begins.
Okay, so the Republicans will keep the Senate. But what about the House? In this current Congress, the Democrats seat 193 members of the House. Since 218 are needed for a majority, the question we ask today is: can they add 25 seats? One last time, let’s check in on… The Big Three Indicators A. Generic… Read More The PPFA Midterm Preview-and-Prediction-palooza, Part II: The House